Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.062093 0.070202 0.078506 0.087616 0.097300 0.107259 0.118248
2025-07-27 0.050685 0.062904 0.076038 0.091068 0.107659 0.125296 0.145348
2025-08-03 0.041663 0.056173 0.072431 0.091677 0.113544 0.137358 0.165004
2025-08-10 0.035227 0.051244 0.069865 0.092548 0.118926 0.148196 0.182716
2025-08-17 0.029568 0.046433 0.066758 0.092183 0.122373 0.156425 0.197126
2025-08-24 0.023511 0.040359 0.061502 0.088716 0.121731 0.159585 0.205429
2025-08-31 0.018938 0.035629 0.057436 0.086267 0.121936 0.163429 0.214258
2025-09-07 0.016137 0.032962 0.055722 0.086491 0.125159 0.170655 0.226879
2025-09-14 0.014202 0.031290 0.055137 0.087994 0.129831 0.179515 0.241353
2025-09-21 0.013328 0.031100 0.056476 0.091920 0.137466 0.191904 0.259987
2025-09-28 0.011675 0.029483 0.055705 0.092984 0.141450 0.199848 0.273326
2025-10-05 0.012020 0.031141 0.059572 0.100213 0.153239 0.217289 0.298024
2025-10-12 0.009411 0.027662 0.056095 0.097785 0.153068 0.220579 0.306366
2025-10-19 0.008605 0.027257 0.057099 0.101464 0.160806 0.233692 0.326698
2025-10-26 0.007201 0.025514 0.055962 0.102113 0.164576 0.241894 0.341109
2025-11-02 0.006043 0.024032 0.055093 0.103039 0.168644 0.250426 0.355901
2025-11-09 0.004810 0.022116 0.053378 0.102652 0.170896 0.256634 0.367820
2025-11-16 0.003283 0.019050 0.049518 0.098964 0.168592 0.256983 0.372450
2025-11-23 0.002214 0.016655 0.046524 0.096356 0.167599 0.258886 0.378907
2025-11-30 0.001659 0.015457 0.045494 0.096595 0.170417 0.265611 0.391309
2025-12-07 0.001320 0.014805 0.045386 0.098195 0.175084 0.274699 0.406656
2025-12-14 0.001233 0.015052 0.046946 0.102372 0.183332 0.288423 0.427817
2025-12-21 0.000932 0.014301 0.046564 0.103503 0.187331 0.296654 0.442118